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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.45vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+4.14vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+2.24vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.26-0.28vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20-1.06vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.42+2.63vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.63-1.82vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.37+0.76vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.91+1.09vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.49-1.58vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University0.55+0.05vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.64-0.96vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.46vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.27-2.29vs Predicted
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15Amherst College0.89-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.2%1st Place
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6.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.24Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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3.72Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.94Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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8.63Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.18Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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10.09University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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8.42Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.05Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.04Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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12.54University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.71University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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10.08Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 21.9% | 22.0% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 19.3% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 16.3% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Sam Shannon | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Walker | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
| Charles Skoda | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 14.7% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 13.1% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 34.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 20.2% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.