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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.42+7.42vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+4.17vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+0.45vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.26-0.27vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.63+0.24vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.59-0.70vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20-3.17vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+4.38vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.64+1.86vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.37-1.22vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.49-2.59vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.91-1.67vs Predicted
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13Amherst College0.89-2.69vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University0.55-2.92vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.27-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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6.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.2%1st Place
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3.73Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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5.24Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.3Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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3.83Harvard University3.200.2%1st Place
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12.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.86Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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8.41Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Rhode Island0.910.0%1st Place
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10.31Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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11.08Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.7University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Colbeth | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 21.7% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 19.0% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Martz | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 18.2% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 33.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 10.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Charles Skoda | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Walker | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 6.8% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.0% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.