Race 3B

south-1-senators-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Louis Padnos 17.2% 14.6% 15.5% 14.8% 14.1% 10.7% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Fletcher Sims 24.2% 19.9% 18.4% 14.5% 9.9% 7.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Fitzgerald 7.2% 10.9% 10.8% 12.2% 15.2% 14.3% 12.2% 9.7% 5.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Jason Carminati 15.7% 17.0% 15.1% 14.8% 13.4% 12.3% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Burke 7.7% 8.1% 8.9% 10.2% 11.3% 12.9% 14.6% 13.9% 7.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Brady Stagg 16.2% 18.6% 17.5% 13.2% 12.5% 10.3% 6.3% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maxwell Plarr 4.2% 2.6% 3.9% 6.8% 6.9% 8.2% 11.9% 16.8% 16.9% 13.2% 6.5% 1.9% 0.2%
Isaac Clark 4.0% 4.7% 4.3% 5.0% 6.5% 10.7% 15.8% 17.1% 15.1% 9.8% 5.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Sarah Hamm 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 3.3% 2.4% 4.1% 6.7% 12.6% 17.8% 21.6% 20.1% 5.9%
Kimannee Simon 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 2.6% 5.2% 4.8% 9.3% 17.9% 21.4% 22.3% 10.5%
Nicholas Koeniger 1.0% 1.2% 2.4% 3.4% 3.8% 5.6% 8.6% 12.9% 18.3% 17.1% 16.3% 7.5% 1.9%
Bryan Schapperle 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 3.2% 4.8% 8.5% 11.9% 20.9% 29.1% 15.9%
Luke Wakeen 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 1.9% 2.2% 4.8% 6.4% 17.2% 65.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.