← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.38+2.73vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.60+3.50vs Predicted
-
3Rollins College0.95+4.34vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami0.83+3.84vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College0.85+2.49vs Predicted
-
6Wake Forest University0.05+4.42vs Predicted
-
7Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+2.40vs Predicted
-
8Clemson University0.73-0.60vs Predicted
-
9North Carolina State University1.40-3.23vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel0.33-0.69vs Predicted
-
11Florida State University0.50-2.51vs Predicted
-
12Jacksonville University1.70-6.89vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-0.27-1.21vs Predicted
-
14Florida Institute of Technology-1.26+0.20vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina-0.92-1.64vs Predicted
-
16University of Central Florida-0.20-4.11vs Predicted
-
17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.73College of Charleston2.3822.7%1st Place
-
5.5University of South Florida1.6011.1%1st Place
-
7.34Rollins College0.956.0%1st Place
-
7.84University of Miami0.835.9%1st Place
-
7.49Eckerd College0.856.3%1st Place
-
10.42Wake Forest University0.052.8%1st Place
-
9.4Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.2%1st Place
-
7.4Clemson University0.735.9%1st Place
-
5.77North Carolina State University1.4010.0%1st Place
-
9.31The Citadel0.333.6%1st Place
-
8.49Florida State University0.504.0%1st Place
-
5.11Jacksonville University1.7012.2%1st Place
-
11.79Embry-Riddle University-0.272.1%1st Place
-
14.2Florida Institute of Technology-1.260.4%1st Place
-
13.36University of North Carolina-0.921.2%1st Place
-
11.89University of Central Florida-0.201.8%1st Place
-
13.98Georgia Institute of Technology-0.560.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 22.7% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Long | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Chase | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Brady Parks | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Igoe | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Howell | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 6.8% |
| William Meade | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 32.1% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 20.6% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 7.2% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.