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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+2.71vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+4.00vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69-0.14vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21-0.22vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.26+1.04vs Predicted
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6Yale University-0.08+3.60vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.39-1.34vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.27+0.61vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-3.52vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.36+0.34vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.40-0.58vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.64-0.73vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.66vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22-1.67vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.36-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Tufts University2.230.2%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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2.86Boston College2.690.3%1st Place
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3.78Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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6.04Northeastern University1.260.1%1st Place
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9.6Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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5.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.42Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.27University of New Hampshire-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.34University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.0%1st Place
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12.55Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 18.2% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 27.7% | 23.7% | 17.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 17.8% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Maguire | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Buehler | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Garrett Connelly | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Zheng | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Merrick Gillies | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 4.9% |
| Owen Sullivan | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 7.5% |
| Rudolf Hauser | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 11.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 13.1% |
| Joshua Linker | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 20.3% | 26.3% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.