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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+2.75vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+0.81vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.39+1.67vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+6.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.44vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.26-1.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University-0.08+1.59vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.96vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.36+0.32vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.40-0.56vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.64-0.72vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.27-4.23vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-1.36-1.38vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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2.81Boston College2.690.3%1st Place
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3.71Tufts University2.230.2%1st Place
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5.67University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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11.18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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5.99Northeastern University1.260.1%1st Place
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9.59Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Vermont-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.44Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.28University of New Hampshire-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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12.62Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 18.5% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 29.2% | 23.8% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 17.3% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 12.1% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Maguire | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Buehler | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| George Luber | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Merrick Gillies | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.3% |
| Owen Sullivan | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
| Rudolf Hauser | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.5% |
| Benjamin Zheng | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 20.9% | 31.0% |
| Joshua Linker | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.