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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+1.88vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.39+2.58vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23-0.25vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.52vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+0.11vs Predicted
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7Yale University-0.08+2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+3.04vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26-3.10vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-1.36+2.45vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.11+2.62vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.64-0.94vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.36-2.65vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.27-5.49vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.40-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Boston College2.690.3%1st Place
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3.68Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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5.58University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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3.75Tufts University2.230.2%1st Place
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5.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.36Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.9Northeastern University1.260.1%1st Place
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12.45Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.110.0%1st Place
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11.06University of New Hampshire-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Vermont-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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10.19Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 28.4% | 24.0% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 18.3% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 8.0% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 17.7% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Buehler | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 7.6% |
| James Maguire | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 25.3% | 21.4% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 16.9% | 55.5% |
| Rudolf Hauser | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 6.1% |
| Merrick Gillies | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 3.8% |
| Benjamin Zheng | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Owen Sullivan | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.