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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+1.83vs Predicted
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2Yale University-0.08+7.34vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.26+2.85vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23-0.26vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21-1.19vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.39-0.38vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University-0.40+3.19vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.27+0.56vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+2.01vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-4.47vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-4.86vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.36-1.64vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-1.36-0.46vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.64-3.15vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.11-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Boston College2.690.3%1st Place
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9.34Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.85Northeastern University1.260.1%1st Place
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3.74Tufts University2.230.2%1st Place
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3.81Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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10.19Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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6.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.54Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.85University of New Hampshire-0.640.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Darcy | 29.9% | 24.1% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Buehler | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| James Maguire | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 17.6% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 16.7% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Sullivan | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| Benjamin Zheng | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 6.1% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Merrick Gillies | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 2.5% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 26.7% | 23.5% |
| Rudolf Hauser | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 6.4% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 18.5% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.