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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.39+4.55vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+1.70vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+0.67vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69-1.11vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+1.13vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.51vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.26-1.06vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.27+0.54vs Predicted
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9Yale University-0.08+0.43vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.15vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.64-0.12vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont-0.36-1.61vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-0.40-2.53vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-1.82-0.67vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.36-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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3.7Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University2.230.2%1st Place
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2.89Boston College2.690.3%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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5.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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5.94Northeastern University1.260.1%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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9.43Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.88University of New Hampshire-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Vermont-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.47Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.33Amherst College-1.820.0%1st Place
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12.43Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Connelly | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 16.5% | 20.3% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 17.3% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 29.7% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Maguire | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Zheng | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Buehler | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 9.3% |
| Rudolf Hauser | 0.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 7.4% |
| Merrick Gillies | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Owen Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 5.0% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 19.7% | 45.3% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 21.6% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.