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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.21+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.39+3.53vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+0.70vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+2.06vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.58vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.69-3.14vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.27+1.55vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.40+2.33vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26-3.10vs Predicted
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10Yale University-0.08-0.49vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.36-0.80vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.70vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-1.36-0.38vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-1.82-0.74vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.64-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Salve Regina University2.210.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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3.7Tufts University2.230.2%1st Place
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6.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.1%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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2.86Boston College2.690.3%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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10.33Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.9Northeastern University1.260.1%1st Place
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9.51Yale University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Vermont-0.360.0%1st Place
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11.3University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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12.62Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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13.26Amherst College-1.820.0%1st Place
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10.84University of New Hampshire-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Beaulieu | 18.1% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 18.6% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marcos Darcy | 27.0% | 24.5% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Zheng | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Owen Sullivan | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 4.1% |
| James Maguire | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Buehler | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Merrick Gillies | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 10.1% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 24.6% | 26.6% |
| Molly Gallagher | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 18.9% | 44.5% |
| Rudolf Hauser | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.