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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+6.52vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.65vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+4.27vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+3.81vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.69vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+2.55vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.63-0.72vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-0.07vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04-0.39vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.51vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.02vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.06-3.14vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-4.00vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-5.54vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.23+0.09vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.05-3.32vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.51-6.14vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.55Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.28Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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10.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.98Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.86Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.0Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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15.09University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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12.68Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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14.24Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.9% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Lily Katz | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 39.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 20.2% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.