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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.63+5.49vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+6.15vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.77vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.18vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.04+3.53vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+3.19vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20+0.93vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.21vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.87vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-2.68vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-5.34vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.23+3.33vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-4.32vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.06-5.77vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-2.52vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.49-5.06vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.51-6.17vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.77Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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7.32Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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15.33University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.23Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.48Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.94Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.83George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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14.22Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Katz | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 43.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.3% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% |
| Charlotte List | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 20.1% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.