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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.51+10.01vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.69vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.90vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+4.57vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.24vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+4.91vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+1.85vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.63-1.71vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.35vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-1.70vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.50+3.54vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-3.69vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-1.65vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.23+0.91vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.91-5.83vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.06-7.40vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.93vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.42-11.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.01George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.9Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.91Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.29Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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14.54Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.31Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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14.91University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Sinagra | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 4.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Lily Katz | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 18.2% | 31.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 38.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.