← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.05+7.82vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+5.30vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.49+8.15vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.20+3.88vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.56vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.63+0.39vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.51+3.79vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.21-0.14vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.32vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.91-0.51vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.99-2.02vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.38-4.36vs Predicted
-
13University of Wisconsin3.04-4.47vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-3.41vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College3.06-6.45vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.34-4.45vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College1.50-2.43vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida1.23-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.82Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.3Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
11.15Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.88Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
5.56University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
6.39Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
-
10.79George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
-
7.86Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
9.49Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
8.98University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
7.64Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
8.53University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
-
10.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
-
8.55Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
11.55Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
14.57Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
15.01University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 6.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 20.1% | 31.1% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 18.9% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.