← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Florida3.41+1.20vs Predicted
-
2Rollins College1.48+2.92vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.47+0.37vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida3.43-1.87vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.93-0.97vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College0.06+0.80vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University-0.20+0.19vs Predicted
-
8Florida Institute of Technology0.05-1.20vs Predicted
-
9Embry-Riddle University-0.50-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.2University of Florida3.410.3%1st Place
-
4.92Rollins College1.480.0%1st Place
-
3.37Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
-
2.13University of South Florida3.430.4%1st Place
-
4.03University of South Florida1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.8Eckerd College0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.19Jacksonville University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
6.8Florida Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.56Embry-Riddle University-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Heausler | 35.0% | 31.0% | 19.0% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathon Norcross | 3.3% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 19.4% | 27.5% | 20.0% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Amy Baxter | 13.9% | 15.7% | 24.0% | 21.3% | 17.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Reynolds | 36.3% | 31.4% | 19.5% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DePrimo | 7.7% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 21.9% | 20.7% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Duncan MacLeod | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 17.5% | 23.6% | 21.7% | 17.3% |
| Kristoffer Bostic | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 27.7% | 24.1% |
| Zach Kowalski | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 18.2% | 23.2% | 21.7% | 17.8% |
| Michael Mierswa | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 23.5% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.