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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.20+1.49vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-0.67+1.81vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-1.49+2.07vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.09-1.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71-1.02vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-1.08-1.58vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-1.79-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49SUNY Maritime College0.2032.2%1st Place
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3.81Hamilton College-0.6712.2%1st Place
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5.07SUNY Stony Brook-1.495.7%1st Place
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2.77Columbia University0.0925.2%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7110.8%1st Place
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4.42Stevens Institute of Technology-1.089.1%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Military Academy-1.794.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew Embry | 32.2% | 25.9% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
Teddy Jiganti | 12.2% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 6.0% |
Cassandra Edwards | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 22.8% | 28.7% |
Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 25.2% | 24.1% | 21.3% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
Matthew McCarvill | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 8.2% |
Yang Yi Zheng | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 15.5% |
Justin McDaniel | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.