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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.60+4.41vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+3.20vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38+0.75vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.33+5.17vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.40+0.89vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.95+1.42vs Predicted
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7Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.20+3.70vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.50-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.83-2.49vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.73-3.47vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.92+1.51vs Predicted
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13Wake Forest University0.05-2.46vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-1.26+0.26vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-1.02vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.27-4.22vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.85-9.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41University of South Florida1.6011.3%1st Place
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5.2Jacksonville University1.7011.8%1st Place
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3.75College of Charleston2.3822.0%1st Place
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9.17The Citadel0.333.9%1st Place
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5.89North Carolina State University1.409.6%1st Place
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7.42Rollins College0.956.0%1st Place
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9.36Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.9%1st Place
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11.7University of Central Florida-0.201.9%1st Place
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8.56Florida State University0.504.5%1st Place
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7.51University of Miami0.836.0%1st Place
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7.53Clemson University0.735.9%1st Place
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13.51University of North Carolina-0.921.2%1st Place
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10.54Wake Forest University0.052.2%1st Place
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14.26Florida Institute of Technology-1.260.5%1st Place
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13.98Georgia Institute of Technology-0.560.9%1st Place
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11.78Embry-Riddle University-0.271.7%1st Place
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7.41Eckerd College0.856.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 22.0% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Robert Chase | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 6.4% |
| Brady Parks | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Long | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 21.6% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| William Meade | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 22.0% | 31.5% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 20.3% | 27.8% |
| Mason Howell | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.