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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.81vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+6.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.71vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.51+6.61vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+2.90vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.04+1.61vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99+0.69vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91+0.07vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05+2.76vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.06-2.28vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.82vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.63-6.75vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-3.51vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.23+0.10vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-1.55vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-6.55vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.42-11.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.71Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.61George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.9Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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6.25Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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10.49Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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15.1University of South Florida1.230.0%1st Place
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14.45Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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6.84Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Maria Sinagra | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 10.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Lily Katz | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| Kelly Stukbauer | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 18.3% | 38.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 30.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.