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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+6.51vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32+7.25vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.63+4.58vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.98+6.32vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+5.71vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20-0.58vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45+1.37vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.33+1.00vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.38+0.05vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.48-1.50vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.76-3.50vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.52-3.96vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-5.09vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.81-2.90vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.44-6.41vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.84-9.05vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.15-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.25Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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11.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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6.42Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.37Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.05George Washington University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.5Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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8.5Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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12.1University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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9.59Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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7.95Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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14.34Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Kate Klement | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emily Petno | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| India Johnstone | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Marly Isler | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.7% |
| Mary Paz | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 36.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.