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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.38+8.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+4.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+5.41vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.63+4.61vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.48+4.25vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.32+4.01vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.22vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-2.27vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.44+0.52vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.45vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.52-1.71vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-3.78vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.33-3.19vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.60vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.15-0.58vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.45-6.49vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.98-5.42vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.81-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.96George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.53Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.41Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.61Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.25Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.29Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.22Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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14.42Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.58Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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11.97University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India Johnstone | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marly Isler | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Kate Klement | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.3% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mary Paz | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Amina Brown | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 36.5% |
| Emily Petno | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.