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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.38+8.95vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.92vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+6.54vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+5.93vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.33+4.87vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.52+3.16vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.63+1.65vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.44+1.45vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.15+5.41vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.48-0.35vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-1.39vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.76-3.48vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-6.72vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.81-2.21vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.96-7.72vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.84-8.09vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.98-5.40vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.95George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.93Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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8.65Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.45Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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14.41Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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9.65Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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9.61Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.52Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.28Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.79University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.6Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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11.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India Johnstone | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Kate Klement | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Sarah De Silva | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Mary Paz | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 36.1% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Emily Petno | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Marly Isler | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| Amina Brown | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.4% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.