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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+8.03vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+7.85vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.38+7.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+2.45vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.30vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-0.16vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.48+2.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33+2.02vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.52+0.24vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.44-0.02vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-4.26vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.76-4.86vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.84-6.32vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.15-0.47vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.32-5.87vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.81-4.60vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.85Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.12George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.45Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.42Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.24Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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9.98Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.51Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.14Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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14.53Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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12.4University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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11.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Emily Petno | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| India Johnstone | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Mary Paz | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Amina Brown | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Marly Isler | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 39.3% |
| Kate Klement | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Darcy Jensen | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.