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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+2.65vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+3.44vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.70+1.95vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University0.05+6.45vs Predicted
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5Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+4.34vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.50+2.74vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.33+2.35vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.95-0.63vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.40-3.35vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.50-1.73vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.73-3.65vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-1.26+2.27vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College0.85-5.62vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.27-2.29vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.92-1.62vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.20-4.32vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65College of Charleston2.3822.7%1st Place
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5.44University of South Florida1.6011.0%1st Place
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4.95Jacksonville University1.7013.0%1st Place
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10.45Wake Forest University0.052.5%1st Place
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9.34Palm Beach Atlantic University0.364.2%1st Place
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8.74University of Miami0.503.9%1st Place
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9.35The Citadel0.333.5%1st Place
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7.37Rollins College0.956.2%1st Place
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5.65North Carolina State University1.4010.6%1st Place
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8.27Florida State University0.505.1%1st Place
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7.35Clemson University0.736.5%1st Place
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14.27Florida Institute of Technology-1.260.5%1st Place
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7.38Eckerd College0.855.9%1st Place
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11.71Embry-Riddle University-0.271.6%1st Place
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13.38University of North Carolina-0.920.7%1st Place
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11.68University of Central Florida-0.201.2%1st Place
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14.01Georgia Institute of Technology-0.560.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 22.7% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Dawson Kohl | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Jay | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Milo Miller | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Robert Chase | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Meade | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 19.8% | 32.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mason Howell | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 6.9% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 19.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.