← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Carolina1.32+0.91vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+0.56vs Predicted
-
3University of South Carolina0.50-0.30vs Predicted
-
4University of Tennessee-0.98+0.24vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University-0.33-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.91University of South Carolina1.320.5%1st Place
-
2.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.2%1st Place
-
2.7University of South Carolina0.500.2%1st Place
-
4.24University of Tennessee-0.980.0%1st Place
-
3.6North Carolina State University-0.330.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 46.8% | 27.4% | 15.9% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Alex Jones | 22.0% | 28.4% | 26.6% | 17.9% | 5.1% |
| Alex Myers | 19.7% | 24.9% | 28.2% | 20.1% | 7.1% |
| Matthew Art | 3.7% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 22.5% | 57.1% |
| Andrew Edwards | 7.8% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 31.7% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.