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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.61+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.32-0.15vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.50-0.29vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.33-0.39vs Predicted
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5University of Tennessee-0.98-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.610.2%1st Place
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1.85University of South Carolina1.320.5%1st Place
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2.71University of South Carolina0.500.2%1st Place
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3.61North Carolina State University-0.330.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Tennessee-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Jones | 22.5% | 26.3% | 26.2% | 18.3% | 6.7% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 46.7% | 29.4% | 17.1% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Alex Myers | 20.0% | 24.5% | 26.8% | 21.8% | 6.9% |
| Andrew Edwards | 7.0% | 12.5% | 19.9% | 33.6% | 27.0% |
| Matthew Art | 3.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 20.6% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.