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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.60+4.28vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.70+2.81vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.87+4.15vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.95+3.07vs Predicted
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5Wake Forest University0.05+5.14vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.73+1.06vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.38-3.56vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.50+0.45vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.05+1.49vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56+3.87vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.20+0.45vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.27-0.56vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-3.94vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-1.26+0.11vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.92-1.92vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.33-7.04vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.85-9.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28University of South Florida1.6011.8%1st Place
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4.81Jacksonville University1.7015.1%1st Place
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7.15North Carolina State University0.877.1%1st Place
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7.07Rollins College0.957.0%1st Place
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10.14Wake Forest University0.052.5%1st Place
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7.06Clemson University0.736.3%1st Place
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3.44College of Charleston2.3823.9%1st Place
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8.45University of Miami0.504.0%1st Place
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10.49Florida State University0.052.3%1st Place
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13.87Georgia Institute of Technology-0.561.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Central Florida-0.201.8%1st Place
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11.44Embry-Riddle University-0.271.6%1st Place
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9.06Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.0%1st Place
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14.11Florida Institute of Technology-1.261.1%1st Place
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13.08University of North Carolina-0.921.1%1st Place
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8.96The Citadel0.333.5%1st Place
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7.15Eckerd College0.856.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 15.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Milo Miller | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Healey | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.9% | 20.1% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Jay | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Niah Ford | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 28.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Mason Howell | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 5.8% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| William Meade | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 33.1% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 18.9% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.