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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+3.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.97vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.89+1.85vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University1.47+5.39vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.70-1.95vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+4.58vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.06vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University0.59+3.84vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.25-2.30vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.55-4.15vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.59-2.19vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University1.47-2.61vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.62-4.21vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.12vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-6.27vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.50vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.50-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.67University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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9.39Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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3.05Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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10.58University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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9.06University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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11.84Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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5.85Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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9.39Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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11.88University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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13.5University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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12.32Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 12.8% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 27.3% | 22.6% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.