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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.89+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.93+2.76vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University1.47+6.25vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.59+8.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine1.06+5.58vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.59+2.93vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.70-3.88vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+0.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-3.06vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.25-3.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.57-2.07vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.50+0.22vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.55-7.24vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley1.62-5.35vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.97vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University1.47-6.75vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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9.25Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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12.0Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.58University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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3.12Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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8.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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5.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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12.22Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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5.76Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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12.03University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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9.25Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Eaton IV | 11.7% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.0% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 28.7% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 3.9% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 36.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.