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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+3.48vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.70vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University1.47+5.94vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.89-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.74vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55-1.37vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University0.59+3.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.06+1.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61+1.73vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.50+0.89vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.62-4.61vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.59-5.52vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University1.47-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.95-5.25vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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5.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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8.94Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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2.93Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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4.65University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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5.63Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.61Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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11.73University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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11.89Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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8.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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8.94Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 29.1% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 13.1% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 35.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.