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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+4.49vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.32+4.07vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70-0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.59+4.58vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93-0.58vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University0.59+5.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.57+1.58vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.17vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.06+0.23vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University1.47-2.15vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.55-6.54vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University1.47-4.15vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.45vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.50-3.16vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.71vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.95-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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2.83Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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8.58University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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11.68Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.58University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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8.17University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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8.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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10.23University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.85Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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5.46Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.85Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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11.55University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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11.84Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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13.29University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobi Allen | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 30.5% | 23.1% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 14.1% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 9.8% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 36.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.