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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+3.16vs Predicted
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3University of Central Florida-0.20+8.62vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.73+2.95vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.05+5.54vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.05+4.04vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.33+2.03vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.95-0.95vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.85-1.89vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.70-5.20vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.87-4.04vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-3.03vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.46-0.82vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-0.28vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.27-3.59vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.21-6.20vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52College of Charleston2.3823.2%1st Place
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5.16University of South Florida1.6012.8%1st Place
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11.62University of Central Florida-0.201.6%1st Place
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6.95Clemson University0.736.1%1st Place
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10.54Florida State University0.052.5%1st Place
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10.04Wake Forest University0.053.3%1st Place
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9.03The Citadel0.333.1%1st Place
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7.05Rollins College0.957.0%1st Place
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7.11Eckerd College0.856.7%1st Place
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4.8Jacksonville University1.7014.8%1st Place
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6.96North Carolina State University0.876.3%1st Place
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8.97Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.8%1st Place
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12.18University of North Carolina-0.461.7%1st Place
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13.72Georgia Institute of Technology-0.561.5%1st Place
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11.41Embry-Riddle University-0.272.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Miami0.212.9%1st Place
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14.11Florida Institute of Technology-1.260.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.2% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 7.3% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Quinn Healey | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Milo Miller | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| May Proctor | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 11.8% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 28.6% |
| Mason Howell | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| David Webb | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| William Meade | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 18.7% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.