← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.89+3.56vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California2.93+2.59vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.70-0.14vs Predicted
-
4Oregon State University1.47+5.11vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.81vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine1.06+4.32vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii1.59+1.62vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.55-2.54vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley1.57-0.41vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-1.49vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University0.50+0.93vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles0.61-0.38vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley1.62-4.56vs Predicted
-
14University of Washington0.95-3.47vs Predicted
-
15Oregon State University1.47-5.89vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-2.70vs Predicted
-
17Santa Clara University0.59-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.56University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
-
4.59University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
-
2.86Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
-
9.11Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
-
5.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
10.32University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
8.62University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
-
5.46Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.59University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
-
8.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
11.93Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
-
11.62University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
8.44University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
-
10.53University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
-
9.11Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
-
13.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
11.77Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Eaton IV | 13.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 13.9% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 29.5% | 23.4% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 35.6% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.