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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.93+3.51vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.89+2.64vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70-0.11vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.59+7.78vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.77vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University1.47+3.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.62+1.54vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University1.47+1.01vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.59-0.57vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-1.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.57-2.30vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.55-6.46vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.61-1.41vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine1.06-3.76vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.95-4.47vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.50-3.89vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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2.89Stanford University3.700.3%1st Place
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11.78Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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9.01Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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9.01Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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8.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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5.54Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.59University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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12.11Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hecht | 14.0% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 13.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 29.1% | 22.8% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.