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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.52+2.78vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47+2.03vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.73+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.71+1.36vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University0.21+4.90vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.42-2.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.80vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.74-2.93vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine0.08+1.42vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-3.15vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-0.07-0.19vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-1.86vs Predicted
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15-0.62-0.88vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.06-3.53vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.16-3.88vs Predicted
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18Oregon State University0.21-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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4.44Stanford University2.730.2%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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7.36University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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11.9Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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9.8University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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8.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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12.81Santa Clara University-0.070.0%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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14.12-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.47Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.9Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 19.9% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 13.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 15.9% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Rasch Castillo | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.