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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.52+4.07vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.42+3.40vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.90+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.36vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.73-0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74+1.76vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University0.21+5.56vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.71-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.49vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.61vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.37-2.08vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+0.60vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University0.21-0.44vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.11-4.21vs Predicted
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15-0.62-0.30vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine0.08-3.08vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University-0.07-3.57vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California2.47-12.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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4.17Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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4.46Stanford University2.730.2%1st Place
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7.76University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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12.56Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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10.49University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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9.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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8.92Western Washington University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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12.56Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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14.7-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.92University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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13.43Santa Clara University-0.070.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Vandervort | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 16.9% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 15.5% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Kaplan | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 41.9% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Rasch Castillo | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.