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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.47+4.24vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.42+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.52+2.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.20+8.58vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University0.21+7.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.51vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University0.21+5.40vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.37+0.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.71-1.43vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.54vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.73-6.45vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine0.08+1.05vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-3.53vs Predicted
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14-0.62+0.65vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.11-5.15vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-0.07-2.70vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.74-9.38vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.90-13.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.1%1st Place
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12.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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12.4Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.51University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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12.4Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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8.92Western Washington University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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4.55Stanford University2.730.1%1st Place
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13.05University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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9.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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14.65-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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13.3Santa Clara University-0.070.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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4.24Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Kaplan | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 40.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Rasch Castillo | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 16.8% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.