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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.71+6.16vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.42+3.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.52+1.82vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+4.99vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.75vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.73-1.52vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-1.97vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.66vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.90-4.96vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University0.21+2.01vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University0.21+1.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine0.08+0.51vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.06-0.50vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-1.89vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.74-7.69vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University0.21-4.02vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.16-3.79vs Predicted
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18-0.62-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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5.08University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.1%1st Place
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8.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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4.48Stanford University2.730.2%1st Place
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5.03University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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4.04Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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12.01Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.01Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.51University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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12.5Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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11.98Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.36-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Hays | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 15.3% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 16.8% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 34.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.