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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.53+6.60vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.47+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.52+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.71+3.22vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.73-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+3.90vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74+0.11vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.42-2.99vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.81vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.16+3.01vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University0.21+1.06vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University0.21-0.02vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine0.08-0.61vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-1.82vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University0.21-3.02vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.90-12.05vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.06-4.52vs Predicted
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18-0.62-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.1%1st Place
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7.22University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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4.22Stanford University2.730.2%1st Place
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9.9University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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9.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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12.06Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.98Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.39University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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12.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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11.98Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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3.95Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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12.48Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
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14.32-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Solomon | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 16.7% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 18.7% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 34.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.