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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.52+3.98vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+8.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+7.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.31vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.90-0.92vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.73-1.33vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74+0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.42-2.65vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.47-3.55vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.71-2.36vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.37-2.07vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University0.21+0.57vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University0.21-0.33vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.11-4.19vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine0.08-2.08vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-3.29vs Predicted
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17Oregon State University0.21-4.33vs Predicted
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18-0.62-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.1%1st Place
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10.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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4.08Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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4.67Stanford University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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8.93Western Washington University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.57Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.67Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Washington1.110.0%1st Place
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12.92University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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12.67Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.77-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Vandervort | 14.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 18.8% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Muller | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Kaplan | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Kate Flanagan | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
| Grant Lin | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 42.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.