← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.53vs Predicted
-
2Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+0.44vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University0.02+0.82vs Predicted
-
4University of Rochester0.94-1.08vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Military Academy-1.33+0.19vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.18-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.53SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
-
2.44Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
-
3.82Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
-
2.92University of Rochester0.940.1%1st Place
-
5.19U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
-
5.09University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 61.7% | 25.7% | 10.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 20.0% | 35.6% | 28.4% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Henry Sanders | 5.5% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 38.1% | 22.4% | 6.6% |
| Tyler Rochon | 11.3% | 22.9% | 36.0% | 22.8% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 10.0% | 32.4% | 49.7% |
| Danyte Reisinger | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 14.9% | 35.4% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.