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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+3.08vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.44vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-0.44vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.02+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester0.94-1.78vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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1.56SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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2.56Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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4.12Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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3.22University of Rochester0.940.1%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Haksteen | 4.4% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 25.8% | 31.7% | 12.3% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 59.5% | 28.9% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 19.8% | 32.3% | 26.4% | 15.7% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Henry Sanders | 4.6% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 26.2% | 32.9% | 12.3% |
| Tyler Rochon | 10.7% | 19.9% | 28.8% | 21.9% | 15.1% | 3.6% |
| Charles Christianson | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 71.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.