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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.56vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester0.94+0.12vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-1.43vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-1.33+0.48vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.02-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56SUNY Stony Brook2.590.6%1st Place
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4.08University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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3.12University of Rochester0.940.1%1st Place
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2.57Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.2%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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4.2Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 60.6% | 26.9% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 3.8% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 27.0% | 31.9% | 11.5% |
| Tyler Rochon | 11.9% | 20.8% | 27.6% | 25.4% | 12.0% | 2.3% |
| Julian Fraize | 19.0% | 31.4% | 28.5% | 15.8% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 72.5% |
| Henry Sanders | 3.8% | 8.3% | 15.5% | 22.3% | 36.9% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.