← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stevens Institute of Technology1.48+0.21vs Predicted
-
2University of Rochester-1.45+1.24vs Predicted
-
3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.56vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University-1.44-0.78vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Military Academy-4.31-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.21Stevens Institute of Technology1.480.8%1st Place
-
3.24University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
-
2.44University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.1%1st Place
-
3.22Syracuse University-1.440.0%1st Place
-
4.88U. S. Military Academy-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Carabelli | 81.5% | 16.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Fiala | 3.8% | 17.9% | 32.4% | 42.4% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Thompson | 11.2% | 47.1% | 28.2% | 13.0% | 0.5% |
| Alberto Rivera | 3.4% | 18.3% | 34.8% | 39.6% | 3.9% |
| Nick Grant | 0.1% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 92.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.