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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+1.83vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo0.75+1.24vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15-0.17vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.87-0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.60-0.54vs Predicted
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6Hampton University3.02-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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2.83Virginia Tech1.150.1%1st Place
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3.12William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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1.36Hampton University3.020.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 12.2% | 29.5% | 28.5% | 22.2% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 6.7% | 21.0% | 26.9% | 32.6% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Brady | 12.2% | 29.5% | 28.5% | 22.2% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 7.6% | 23.3% | 30.9% | 26.3% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 1.6% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 17.8% | 67.6% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 71.9% | 21.9% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.