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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.95+5.83vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.60+2.18vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.85+2.90vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.70-0.22vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.05+3.96vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.33+1.74vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.05+2.20vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36-0.43vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.20+1.35vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.82+1.75vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.73-5.01vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.87-6.08vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.27-2.87vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.92-1.96vs Predicted
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16Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04-3.44vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-1.26-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Rollins College0.957.2%1st Place
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3.36College of Charleston2.3823.7%1st Place
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5.18University of South Florida1.6010.4%1st Place
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6.9Eckerd College0.857.8%1st Place
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4.78Jacksonville University1.7014.0%1st Place
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9.96Wake Forest University0.053.4%1st Place
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8.74The Citadel0.334.3%1st Place
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10.2Florida State University0.052.4%1st Place
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8.57Palm Beach Atlantic University0.364.5%1st Place
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11.35University of Central Florida-0.202.2%1st Place
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12.75University of Miami-0.821.2%1st Place
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6.99Clemson University0.736.5%1st Place
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6.92North Carolina State University0.876.7%1st Place
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11.13Embry-Riddle University-0.272.1%1st Place
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13.04University of North Carolina-0.921.4%1st Place
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12.56Georgia Institute of Technology-0.041.4%1st Place
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13.74Florida Institute of Technology-1.260.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Milo Miller | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Benjamin Dufour | 23.7% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Kay Brunsvold | 10.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Pj Rodrigues | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Patrick Igoe | 14.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Quinn Healey | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
Andrew Tollefson | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Niah Ford | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
Dawson Kohl | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
Charlie Eckert | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 5.9% |
James Hopkins | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 18.2% |
Nilah Miller | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Ryan Brelage | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Mason Howell | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
Emma Gumny | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 18.1% |
Annika Kaelin | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 15.8% |
William Meade | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.