Race 2A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Bitney 17.8% 17.3% 17.6% 16.1% 13.4% 8.7% 4.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
John Silvestri 11.9% 14.5% 13.6% 16.4% 12.9% 12.5% 7.5% 6.7% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 14.9% 14.6% 16.4% 14.1% 12.6% 13.4% 7.9% 3.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
James Beatty 31.4% 27.1% 16.4% 12.1% 6.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Yannelli 6.2% 6.7% 8.9% 10.3% 13.6% 12.6% 13.4% 10.4% 9.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.0%
George Luber 3.6% 4.4% 5.7% 6.1% 7.7% 9.7% 14.2% 15.4% 13.5% 13.2% 5.8% 0.7%
Meredith Morran 4.5% 5.4% 7.0% 7.8% 9.2% 11.2% 14.1% 12.3% 11.7% 11.1% 5.1% 0.6%
Stephen Fletcher 4.8% 4.8% 6.4% 8.0% 8.6% 10.7% 12.0% 15.1% 14.1% 9.9% 4.4% 1.2%
Noah Brayer 2.0% 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 7.5% 9.7% 12.1% 14.5% 17.2% 16.2% 9.4% 1.1%
Kelsey Martins 0.8% 1.3% 2.3% 2.3% 3.6% 2.3% 5.7% 7.2% 12.4% 15.9% 34.7% 11.5%
River Iannaccone 1.8% 0.9% 1.8% 2.3% 3.8% 4.1% 6.2% 9.9% 13.2% 20.7% 26.1% 9.2%
Hanna Desilets 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 2.1% 4.7% 11.7% 75.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.