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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.56+2.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.36+3.63vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.32+2.78vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+1.94vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54+5.32vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.89+0.60vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45-3.76vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82-5.59vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.77-4.27vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.48vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.27-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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4.1University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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6.63Brown University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.78Northeastern University1.320.0%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.6Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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4.24Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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3.41Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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5.73University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.06University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 30.1% | 22.6% | 21.3% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 11.9% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Morran | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Fletcher | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| George Luber | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 74.3% |
| Noah Brayer | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 2.6% |
| John Silvestri | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 19.0% | 20.5% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 7.4% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 18.8% | 34.7% | 11.7% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 26.7% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.