Race 6A

admiral-alymers

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jack Bitney 16.3% 17.9% 19.4% 15.5% 13.9% 8.0% 4.7% 2.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 13.0% 15.3% 16.7% 15.9% 12.6% 10.6% 8.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
James Beatty 31.9% 25.7% 15.6% 12.0% 8.1% 3.8% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Luber 3.1% 3.7% 4.5% 7.6% 9.9% 10.9% 13.1% 13.0% 15.4% 11.6% 6.6% 0.6%
Meredith Morran 3.9% 5.3% 5.0% 8.0% 10.7% 12.2% 12.3% 13.3% 12.8% 10.6% 5.1% 0.8%
Stephen Fletcher 4.2% 4.4% 7.0% 6.9% 7.6% 11.5% 12.2% 17.0% 13.1% 11.1% 4.4% 0.6%
Vincent Yannelli 6.7% 8.0% 9.7% 9.9% 12.4% 13.5% 11.9% 12.4% 7.8% 5.2% 2.2% 0.3%
John Silvestri 15.0% 13.4% 15.5% 13.8% 12.2% 11.9% 9.0% 4.9% 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
River Iannaccone 1.6% 1.2% 1.4% 3.5% 2.6% 5.1% 8.4% 9.6% 14.1% 21.0% 25.4% 6.1%
Noah Brayer 2.8% 3.7% 3.9% 4.3% 7.1% 8.3% 11.0% 13.4% 16.7% 16.6% 10.6% 1.6%
Kelsey Martins 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.9% 2.4% 3.5% 5.4% 7.2% 11.3% 17.7% 34.0% 13.2%
Hanna Desilets 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 2.8% 3.9% 11.0% 76.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.