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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.63+3.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+1.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.38-0.19vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+2.91vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.77+0.65vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02-2.67vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.16-2.26vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.72vs Predicted
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9Amherst College0.89-1.61vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.27-1.68vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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3.65Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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2.81Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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3.33Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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4.74University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.39Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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8.32University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Shannon | 11.3% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 16.8% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 26.9% | 24.6% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Luber | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 17.7% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 7.7% | 1.7% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 21.4% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 20.3% | 35.1% | 11.7% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 3.6% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 21.2% | 29.0% | 7.9% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 11.7% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.