← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.38+2.40vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.60+3.05vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.70+1.71vs Predicted
-
4Eckerd College0.85+2.89vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University0.87+1.77vs Predicted
-
6Palm Beach Atlantic University0.36+2.70vs Predicted
-
7University of Central Florida-0.20+4.32vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University0.05+2.27vs Predicted
-
9Clemson University0.73-2.09vs Predicted
-
10Wake Forest University0.05+0.01vs Predicted
-
11The Citadel0.33-2.37vs Predicted
-
12Rollins College0.95-5.14vs Predicted
-
13Florida Institute of Technology-1.26+0.79vs Predicted
-
14Embry-Riddle University-0.27-2.77vs Predicted
-
15Georgia Institute of Technology-0.04-2.29vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina-0.92-3.09vs Predicted
-
17University of Miami-0.82-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.4College of Charleston2.3823.4%1st Place
-
5.05University of South Florida1.6012.4%1st Place
-
4.71Jacksonville University1.7014.3%1st Place
-
6.89Eckerd College0.857.4%1st Place
-
6.77North Carolina State University0.876.6%1st Place
-
8.7Palm Beach Atlantic University0.363.9%1st Place
-
11.32University of Central Florida-0.201.6%1st Place
-
10.27Florida State University0.053.5%1st Place
-
6.91Clemson University0.736.8%1st Place
-
10.01Wake Forest University0.053.1%1st Place
-
8.63The Citadel0.334.8%1st Place
-
6.86Rollins College0.956.6%1st Place
-
13.79Florida Institute of Technology-1.260.7%1st Place
-
11.23Embry-Riddle University-0.271.5%1st Place
-
12.71Georgia Institute of Technology-0.041.1%1st Place
-
12.91University of North Carolina-0.921.4%1st Place
-
12.83University of Miami-0.821.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 23.4% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Niah Ford | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Healey | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Milo Miller | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Meade | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 30.9% |
| Mason Howell | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Annika Kaelin | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 15.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 18.3% |
| James Hopkins | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.