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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.16+3.97vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.77+3.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82+0.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.38-1.18vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.02-1.69vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.63-1.98vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.73vs Predicted
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9Amherst College0.89-1.59vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.27-1.68vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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3.75Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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2.82Tufts University3.380.3%1st Place
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3.31Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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4.02Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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7.41Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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8.32University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Rush | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 14.9% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 27.6% | 22.6% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 21.5% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 12.7% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| George Luber | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 35.4% | 11.9% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 22.3% | 12.4% | 3.8% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 22.6% | 29.4% | 7.9% |
| Hanna Desilets | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 12.3% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.