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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+1.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.53+1.39vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.08+1.22vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.42+1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.39+0.62vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.84-1.27vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.16-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.64+1.42vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.99-2.60vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.47vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-0.68vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Tufts University3.240.4%1st Place
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3.39Tufts University2.530.2%1st Place
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4.22Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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5.62Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island1.390.1%1st Place
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4.73Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.160.1%1st Place
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9.42University of New Hampshire-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 37.0% | 28.1% | 17.7% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Nathanson | 18.6% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 12.9% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 4.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Connelly | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dragon | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Rudolf Hauser | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 23.2% | 13.3% |
| Arthur Milot | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 14.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 17.3% | 24.2% | 21.1% | 16.8% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 27.2% | 32.7% |
| Joshua Linker | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 9.7% | 17.1% | 24.8% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.